Show simple item record

dc.contributor.authorSaiuparad, Sunisaen_US
dc.contributor.authorสุนิสา สายอุปราชen_US
dc.contributor.authorSuphirat, Chawaneeen_US
dc.contributor.authorชวนี สุภิรัตน์en_US
dc.contributor.authorRujasiri, Piyatidaen_US
dc.contributor.authorปิยธิดา รุจะศิริen_US
dc.date.accessioned2018-02-20T04:46:20Z
dc.date.available2018-02-20T04:46:20Z
dc.date.issued2017-07-08
dc.identifier.urihttp://repository.rmutp.ac.th/handle/123456789/2312
dc.descriptionรายงานวิจัย -- มหาวิทยาลัยเทคโนโลยีราชมงคลพระนคร, 2559en_US
dc.description.abstractThe forecasting method is important because it can predict phenomena in the future. The accuracy of the forecast depends on the model and the initial conditions. In addition, the predictability measurement method is important can be check the accurate of forecasts. In this research is winter monsoon forecasts in Thailand by the shallow water model. The data from The Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research (BCCR), University of Bergen, Norway. The global climate model is Bergen Climate Model (BCM) Version 2.0 (BCCR-BCM2.0) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is used. The Lyapunov exponent (LE) is the predictability measurement method for verify the efficiency of model and establish the new predictability measurement method by the time series analysis. The result to show that the new predictability measurement method by the time series analysis can be measure the efficiency of the winter monsoon forecasts in Thailand by the shallow water model for December 2015 to December 2056 are suitable.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipRajamangala University of Technology Phra Nakhonen_US
dc.language.isothen_US
dc.subjectPredictability measurementen_US
dc.subjectWinter monsoonen_US
dc.subjectClimateen_US
dc.titleThe Development of Predictability Measurement Method for Winter Monsoon Forecasts in Thailanden_US
dc.title.alternativeการพัฒนาวิธีการวัดการพยากรณ์มรสุมฤดูหนาวในประเทศไทยen_US
dc.typeResearch Reporten_US
dc.contributor.emailauthorarit@rmutp.ac.then_US


Files in this item

Thumbnail

This item appears in the following Collection(s)

Show simple item record